Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Orleans vs. Texas A&M-CC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a551b76f884bc9435af3e5dc9e96aa50da31539d91bd1d30a010d955c6527c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M-CCof New Orleans, Texas A&M-CC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked New Orleans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc703…1353backed New Orleans | 9c | 188$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fb0bbacked New Orleans | 8c | 154$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…9d23backed New Orleans | 9c | 136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…0dc3backed New Orleans | 9c | 127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…b116backed New Orleans | 9c | 123$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6935…f934backed New Orleans | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4d9fbacked New Orleans | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e67…899dbacked Texas A&M-CC | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…9e52backed New Orleans | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…b143backed New Orleans | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…c43dbacked New Orleans | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…7c75backed New Orleans | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2a…b942backed Texas A&M-CC | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…326cbacked Texas A&M-CC | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.