Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Joblife GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a5fccaf51ffc79059f4ae3014cec1de099d7fe7a2644d37f1ca6b187fe644b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twisted Minds Orchidof Joblife GC, Twisted Minds Orchid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Joblife GC | 21c | 282$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Joblife GC | 19c | 63.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0014backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.