Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cleveland State vs. Wright State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9a61571d3cbc88623a6952dd9ae4445dc3357c747a8fbea3346ac55d2970f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright Stateof Cleveland State, Wright State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x857d…b7f0backed Wright State | 53c | 197$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…faa0backed Wright State | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…9988backed Cleveland State | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ae…a9a0backed Cleveland State | 47c | 117$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…6fb4backed Wright State | 53c | 114$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…56b9backed Wright State | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cb…9ff0backed Cleveland State | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Wright State | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Cleveland State | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…500cbacked Wright State | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1ca2backed Wright State | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…f8c7backed Cleveland State | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa064…725dbacked Cleveland State | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…8e93backed Cleveland State | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…81c4backed Cleveland State | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6112…6c53backed Wright State | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…962ebacked Cleveland State | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…012cbacked Cleveland State | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…a274backed Wright State | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…7ec6backed Cleveland State | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…328fbacked Wright State | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331e…dfbdbacked Cleveland State | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…dbfebacked Cleveland State | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…e007backed Cleveland State | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…c8a7backed Wright State | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…b44cbacked Cleveland State | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…dd7cbacked Cleveland State | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…c3eebacked Cleveland State | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2fdebacked Cleveland State | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…f592backed Wright State | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8d…69c0backed Cleveland State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…926cbacked Wright State | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…d3a1backed Cleveland State | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…4d20backed Wright State | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e27…51cebacked Cleveland State | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…2c0ebacked Wright State | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…34b9backed Cleveland State | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…6c24backed Cleveland State | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784c…ba28backed Wright State | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.