NHL · resolved market
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Chicago Wolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3bb0f9c7f1620a1eb43323d234fae334b6d5cc7f9bd38bcba72d302ad46228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Wolvesof Rockford IceHogs, Chicago Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Chicago Wolves | 56c | 442.18$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Wolves | 54c | 438.11$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Rockford IceHogs | 45c | 282.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rockford IceHogs | 46c | 277.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Rockford IceHogs | 45c | 265$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Rockford IceHogs | 42c | 106.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Chicago Wolves | 61c | 106.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Wolves | 58c | 96.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rockford IceHogs | 51c | 69.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Rockford IceHogs | 34c | 63.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Rockford IceHogs | 39c | 49.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Chicago Wolves | 49c | 43.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockford IceHogs | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Chicago Wolves | 57c | 24.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.