Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open, Qualification: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura Samson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b4334a3e7298acb0689ca02883e8a90fdf239655187e2f9f608d486faedb9c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valdmannovaof Valdmannova, Samson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Samson | 43c | 6,527$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.58 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valdmannova | 66c | 4,863$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.5 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valdmannova | 59c | 3,834$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Valdmannova | 56c | 1,810$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.22 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Samson | 78c | 1,218$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Samson | 26c | 1,081$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.21 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Samson | 24c | 1,009$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.71 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Samson | 20c | 740$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Valdmannova | 47c | 681.86$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.86 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Samson | 40c | 598$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Samson | 42c | 470.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Valdmannova | 48c | 286.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…057dbacked Valdmannova | 11c | 218.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +831.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Samson | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…a06dbacked Valdmannova | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Valdmannova | 56c | 198.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Samson | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Samson | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Valdmannova | 72c | 129.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Samson | 17c | 125.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Valdmannova | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Samson | 42c | 67.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Samson | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samson | 41c | 60.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Samson | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…d91cbacked Valdmannova | 27c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Valdmannova | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.