NHL · resolved market
IIHF Ice Hockey World Championship: Denmark vs. Switzerland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b4b80a4fffda2d21277dc614064e404f2427210ef942c63d9f4ce33c91b28be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Switzerlandof Denmark, Switzerland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Denmark | 13c | 12,394$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.25 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Denmark | 13c | 4,814$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.2 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Denmark | 15c | 4,567$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.05 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Denmark | 16c | 3,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Denmark | 15c | 1,791$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.21 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5d…58bdbacked Denmark | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b94…2129backed Denmark | 16c | 935$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Denmark | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Denmark | 15c | 613$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Denmark | 17c | 293.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Denmark | 19c | 203.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Denmark | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Denmark | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Denmark | 15c | 91.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…c5a5backed Denmark | 16c | 66.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.