Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rider vs. Saint Peter's
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bce6f2f55eaf6f8d9c1db2ff1d8ed0cd5b8bd919ed7289bb786be38ab755da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Peter'sof Rider, Saint Peter's
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Saint Peter's | 64c | 1,820$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rider | 36c | 1,366$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.67 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rider | 38c | 699.5$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.81 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Saint Peter's | 64c | 486.45$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Rider | 36c | 480$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…2e13backed Rider | 41c | 456.1$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…1600backed Saint Peter's | 65c | 456$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Saint Peter's | 62c | 303.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…3e76backed Saint Peter's | 64c | 187$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…e82bbacked Rider | 36c | 187$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rider | 35c | 161$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…5a6dbacked Saint Peter's | 64c | 149$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…ab3ebacked Rider | 38c | 138.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…3448backed Rider | 37c | 135.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0b…e7fdbacked Rider | 36c | 109$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…ca31backed Saint Peter's | 66c | 107.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Saint Peter's | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…1de3backed Rider | 36c | 89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…1ef8backed Saint Peter's | 66c | 83.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…e588backed Saint Peter's | 66c | 78.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Rider | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…dc67backed Rider | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…b66bbacked Saint Peter's | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…afc8backed Saint Peter's | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb57…c557backed Rider | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…4425backed Saint Peter's | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…a59dbacked Rider | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16d…d6bfbacked Saint Peter's | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.