CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bfa72a35bb739224aa59cf656079bc89f4d3aa6b6d796cf1351dbdf1bbc1ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Legacy | 67c | 20,961$14,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,917 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed NRG | 33c | 13,574$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.42 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed NRG | 31c | 4,947$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.58 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NRG | 35c | 4,050$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.73 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed NRG | 33c | 3,250$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.5 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed NRG | 34c | 3,226$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Legacy | 68c | 2,030$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.6 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Legacy | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Legacy | 66c | 1,942$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.9 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked NRG | 34c | 1,822$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.2 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed NRG | 12c | 1,436$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Legacy | 54c | 1,119$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.68 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked NRG | 34c | 1,080$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked NRG | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 33c | 998.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.67 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Legacy | 68c | 951.76$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.28 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Legacy | 62c | 815.92$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.62 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NRG | 38c | 677.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 42c | 470$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Legacy | 64c | 427.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked NRG | 33c | 421$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed NRG | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed NRG | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Legacy | 65c | 285.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Legacy | 63c | 282.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked NRG | 57c | 271.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Legacy | 32c | 258.55$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Legacy | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked NRG | 56c | 234.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Legacy | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed NRG | 17c | 179.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Legacy | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed NRG | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed Legacy | 68c | 72.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Legacy | 43c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked NRG | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e21cbacked NRG | 48c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked Legacy | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Legacy | 62c | 18.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.