Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia State vs. Coastal Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c93ebf5e645e9f21f1cace00b7f3539f58d4b9fc491e06a1a71595e8bbe043d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coastal Carolinaof Georgia State, Coastal Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a80…a2e9backed Coastal Carolina | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…e08ebacked Coastal Carolina | 41c | 159$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Coastal Carolina | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Georgia State | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…18edbacked Coastal Carolina | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…ceecbacked Georgia State | 59c | 118$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…afffbacked Coastal Carolina | 40c | 118$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…9ec7backed Coastal Carolina | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…6aafbacked Georgia State | 60c | 63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55c…7c45backed Coastal Carolina | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…ebefbacked Coastal Carolina | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…cf59backed Georgia State | 60c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…f4adbacked Georgia State | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…af4ebacked Georgia State | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…5f07backed Georgia State | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a64…a3a7backed Georgia State | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…fde4backed Georgia State | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…23abbacked Coastal Carolina | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…0488backed Georgia State | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…c6ffbacked Coastal Carolina | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f9b8backed Georgia State | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…7989backed Georgia State | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a7…c110backed Georgia State | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…9bbbbacked Georgia State | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…f30fbacked Georgia State | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…7ae2backed Georgia State | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…99e2backed Georgia State | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…34b9backed Georgia State | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…19b7backed Georgia State | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e8…52a9backed Georgia State | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.