Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9774ce87320c798fec071ba72b701a201c083d5199d3ef7ad6835a71eb438f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,150 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 61c | 14,877$9,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,074.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,640$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.63 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 2,140$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 1,512$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.13 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 867.53$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 2c | 794.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 411.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.41 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 38c | 355.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.55 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 283.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 35c | 255.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 38c | 230.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 65c | 153.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 152.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 127.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 36c | 111.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 60c | 110.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 39c | 102.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 36c | 101.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 32c | 99.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 49c | 86.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 85.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 74c | 82.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 34c | 72.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 57.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 34c | 46.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 56c | 38.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 38c | 31.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 28.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 63c | 21.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 15.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…b1d3backed Yes | 76c | 15.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.