Cricket · resolved market
T20 Central American Championship: Brazil vs Costa Rica
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cf46cdc749c3bba88dc7e2ff6f17b8f494fb8d29e353caf0902b74f6f1c7462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Brazil, Costa Rica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98fd…dcbdbacked Brazil | 77c | 3,003$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Costa Rica | 23c | 1,828$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Costa Rica | 2c | 826.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Costa Rica | 19c | 751.11$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Costa Rica | 8c | 534.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Costa Rica | 4c | 399.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Costa Rica | 8c | 347.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Costa Rica | 19c | 237.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…77f0backed Costa Rica | 6c | 167.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Costa Rica | 20c | 166.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Costa Rica | 20c | 150.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Costa Rica | 19c | 130.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Brazil | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Costa Rica | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Costa Rica | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…1f02backed Costa Rica | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Brazil | 73c | 94.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725c…e5febacked Brazil | 75c | 48.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…5c19backed Brazil | 50c | 35.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…3e5abacked Costa Rica | 50c | 35.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…7f20backed Brazil | 50c | 32.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8070…6a05backed Costa Rica | 50c | 31.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…217cbacked Brazil | 50c | 30.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458a…53aabacked Costa Rica | 50c | 29.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…2ef0backed Brazil | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…a7f3backed Costa Rica | 50c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Brazil | 63c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Brazil | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brazil | 79c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.