CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs SAW - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d74fe684df697690b7b367432dbe5759e2bdf43512b21908292cfe3fe651abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DENDELE CSof DENDELE CS, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed DENDELE CS | 49c | 572.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed SAW | 44c | 340.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked SAW | 64c | 320.62$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SAW | 46c | 267.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed DENDELE CS | 45c | 119.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked DENDELE CS | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked DENDELE CS | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed DENDELE CS | 56c | 62.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…a634backed SAW | 36c | 56.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked DENDELE CS | 65c | 29.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed DENDELE CS | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed DENDELE CS | 66c | 22.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs SAW (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3DENDELE CS won
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerDENDELE CS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.