Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lindenwood vs. Western Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ea239b308f3e2b36069cbcb5f7637671fc61b62d5066ac7f4bac7fae69b223c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Illinoisof Lindenwood, Western Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Western Illinois | 36c | 1,562$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lindenwood | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…c65ebacked Western Illinois | 50c | 207$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…18edbacked Lindenwood | 50c | 149$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf659…3665backed Western Illinois | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857d…79d4backed Western Illinois | 51c | 96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a56cbacked Lindenwood | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…b53abacked Western Illinois | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…4315backed Western Illinois | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…f8a2backed Western Illinois | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…376cbacked Lindenwood | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…ef49backed Western Illinois | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Western Illinois | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lindenwood | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…916bbacked Western Illinois | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…20ecbacked Lindenwood | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254e…f194backed Lindenwood | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fd…7aa3backed Lindenwood | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…1360backed Western Illinois | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…2b3fbacked Lindenwood | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…630bbacked Lindenwood | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1e…58b9backed Lindenwood | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…a69bbacked Western Illinois | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ada…e8a3backed Lindenwood | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…ca2dbacked Lindenwood | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…a262backed Lindenwood | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…cb97backed Lindenwood | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…4355backed Western Illinois | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…db1bbacked Western Illinois | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9bcebacked Lindenwood | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…a306backed Western Illinois | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…7ea0backed Western Illinois | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe452…3cbfbacked Lindenwood | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…fbe3backed Western Illinois | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…b97cbacked Western Illinois | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…ca8ebacked Lindenwood | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…9962backed Western Illinois | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…87b1backed Lindenwood | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…ff9dbacked Lindenwood | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2960…74cabacked Western Illinois | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8040…1a9bbacked Lindenwood | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…1808backed Lindenwood | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…85e2backed Lindenwood | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7eb…a88abacked Lindenwood | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.