CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs CSDIILIT (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ea8bd0b11510c06a083bd2a203b47b249dbab2c6d706a46a99e2cfc7f909c01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked CSDIILIT | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…0fbfbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 676.03$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed CSDIILIT | 3c | 622.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed CSDIILIT | 39c | 481.96$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed CSDIILIT | 48c | 318.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked MANA eSports | 64c | 313.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed CSDIILIT | 18c | 230.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed MANA eSports | 56c | 216.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed CSDIILIT | 8c | 142$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…4a9cbacked MANA eSports | 59c | 119.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed MANA eSports | 43c | 97.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MANA eSports | 60c | 94.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked MANA eSports | 58c | 91.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked MANA eSports | 70c | 86.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed MANA eSports | 58c | 73.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed MANA eSports | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…5848backed CSDIILIT | 40c | 30.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked MANA eSports | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…5a66backed CSDIILIT | 42c | 25.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 63c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked MANA eSports | 64c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs CSDIILIT (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner CSDIILIT won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.