Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ed7717d3753c631dbba5758a6ba1eca71938b4dad4e4cd57af8cd47e56b453b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Inner Circle | 2c | 5,700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 4,432$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.24 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Inner Circle | 1c | 4,119$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Inner Circle | 32c | 2,167$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.44 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 1,542$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.43 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Inner Circle | 27c | 1,375$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.03 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Inner Circle | 34c | 1,137$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.44 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6963…4eedbacked Inner Circle | 33c | 802$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 481.44$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 458.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Inner Circle | 31c | 450$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Inner Circle | 32c | 302$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 267.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 206$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Inner Circle | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Inner Circle | 21c | 198.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Inner Circle | 27c | 179.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Inner Circle | 15c | 129.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Inner Circle | 18c | 126.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…b9ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…b9f1backed Inner Circle | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.