Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
George Washington vs. Loyola Chicago
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eef9fa83a17dc532c2cade5cf9476ac87e3309e85cd51089dd20352f3ed2068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Chicagoof George Washington, Loyola Chicago
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked George Washington | 25c | 1,378$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.52 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a896backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…45aebacked George Washington | 26c | 225$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e38…2b9abacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 192$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8567backed George Washington | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c8…221ebacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 179$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…34fdbacked Loyola Chicago | 74c | 169$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ab…4162backed George Washington | 25c | 169$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…b55cbacked George Washington | 26c | 169$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…5df3backed Loyola Chicago | 74c | 162$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbeb…d3fbbacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…fd5fbacked George Washington | 26c | 152$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…b566backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 142$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…e3a6backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…9e6cbacked George Washington | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c6…b553backed Loyola Chicago | 74c | 109$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…1c39backed Loyola Chicago | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a56cbacked Loyola Chicago | 63c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…c478backed George Washington | 25c | 83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…5dfbbacked George Washington | 37c | 76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…f07ebacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…839dbacked George Washington | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…dc60backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…23abbacked George Washington | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…ad04backed Loyola Chicago | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…1ff5backed George Washington | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…b313backed George Washington | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…4c45backed George Washington | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…f68bbacked George Washington | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…2341backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…7547backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…21edbacked George Washington | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…572ebacked George Washington | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…4315backed Loyola Chicago | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…424bbacked Loyola Chicago | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…1686backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15c…a62bbacked George Washington | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f9…5becbacked George Washington | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee2…fe3cbacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…69b0backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…0de7backed George Washington | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…6ad0backed Loyola Chicago | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a4…9151backed Loyola Chicago | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…fb75backed Loyola Chicago | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…a20ebacked Loyola Chicago | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…eb31backed Loyola Chicago | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5e…9661backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…77ebbacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…14babacked Loyola Chicago | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…4aa0backed Loyola Chicago | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…07f2backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…2972backed Loyola Chicago | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…b5ebbacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…575ebacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867e…08b7backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dae…eed9backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…e7fcbacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…5252backed Loyola Chicago | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…87b1backed Loyola Chicago | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffeb…5c1fbacked Loyola Chicago | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…0cf2backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…dbc1backed Loyola Chicago | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b2…c2b7backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…07efbacked Loyola Chicago | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…ffc4backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…b4f6backed Loyola Chicago | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…f30fbacked Loyola Chicago | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…7463backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…6b89backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9af…17d5backed Loyola Chicago | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.