Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Atlantic vs. Temple
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ff2ffc1b42def0c7d083fb5f498a1c4e8e299eb8ee7e481fcc8894a2f686a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlanticof Florida Atlantic, Temple
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Florida Atlantic | 51c | 873.97$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.85 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Temple | 42c | 690$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Temple | 39c | 598.94$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Florida Atlantic | 61c | 386.17$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…8e5abacked Florida Atlantic | 61c | 304.69$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Temple | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Temple | 41c | 87.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Temple | 41c | 86.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7a…58c1backed Florida Atlantic | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Florida Atlantic | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…bbc3backed Temple | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…c79bbacked Temple | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7904…adaabacked Temple | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ea…a927backed Temple | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Florida Atlantic | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…7203backed Florida Atlantic | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa33…e699backed Florida Atlantic | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921c…0b0ebacked Florida Atlantic | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b149backed Florida Atlantic | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…bd3cbacked Temple | 67c | 17.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.