TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will Sebastian Aho win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes7c1,286$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.965352.8%28 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeaec…351cbacked No63c378.35$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db4…81dabacked No63c372.92$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0783…2c9bbacked No63c369.59$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa31b…923bbacked No63c365.38$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a85…98a3backed No64c364.38$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb304…b420backed No64c361.57$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6806…126dbacked No64c361.18$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafa5…df15backed No63c359.84$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8724…c252backed No63c358.21$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cda…0ef0backed No64c352.03$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2940…d265backed No64c347.39$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc90d…c8e8backed No64c346.71$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f1…d2edbacked No64c197.77$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5729…4c51backed No64c197.42$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf5…3eb5backed No64c197.34$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…4130backed No64c196.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd72…98fbbacked No64c196.73$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a34…5a96backed No64c196.33$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa400…152cbacked No64c196.27$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc453…ab41backed No64c195.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbac…969cbacked No64c195.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee2a…80d4backed No64c194.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x031e…560dbacked No63c194.78$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204c…e69ebacked No62c193.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b6…1c21backed No64c192.45$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2e…0af4backed No63c192.4$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x504c…6ecfbacked No62c192.34$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e2…2c78backed No63c192.23$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5491…6e70backed No64c192.15$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9932…a9bfbacked No63c190.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a3…0c95backed No64c190.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371c…a693backed No64c190.16$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5406…b1cdbacked Yes36c189.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1535…9672backed No64c188.85$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe656…1f4ebacked No62c188.3$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf4…00b2backed No63c187.74$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0d…4498backed No64c187.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41c7…b8debacked No64c187.61$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1879…df34backed Yes36c187.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…739abacked No64c186.67$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1553…3dffbacked No63c186.65$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12a4…5546backed Yes36c186.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…3bd6backed No63c186.01$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf044…6cf6backed No63c185.81$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb9…ff36backed No64c185.46$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae7…65e3backed No64c185.14$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f4…e62cbacked No64c185.13$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc0…95a5backed No63c184.93$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a48…14eabacked No63c184.8$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2f…d7f6backed Yes36c184.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c0…88e0backed No64c183.93$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…ce77backed No64c183.89$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x185a…4bbbbacked No64c183.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0993…d934backed No64c183.43$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd59…f421backed No64c183.17$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…2820backed Yes36c182.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9294…fa48backed Yes36c182.64$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bcc…35a5backed No64c182.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe588…f6fbbacked No64c182.49$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…ec51backed No62c182.25$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2f…0d79backed No62c182.19$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a6…20fcbacked No64c182.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b7a…a3bcbacked No62c182.1$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d1…61b1backed No62c181.92$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2f1…69cdbacked No62c181.85$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f70…557dbacked No62c181.76$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cff…fb69backed No62c181.7$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa055…4487backed No64c181.69$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2c…7fe6backed No62c181.19$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9f…770abacked No62c181.17$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7b…ff59backed No62c181.12$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb724…0617backed No64c180.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b2…09bebacked No62c180.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11b9…8f3fbacked No63c180.55$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a3…2acdbacked No62c180.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…fcbebacked No62c180.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…d94dbacked No63c180.2$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed17…f263backed No63c180.19$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9726…2eafbacked No62c180$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cce…e06dbacked No62c179.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9c…38ffbacked Yes36c179.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ea…2d16backed No64c179.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x406b…48bbbacked Yes36c178.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2062…cd58backed No62c177.92$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x235e…ee03backed Yes36c177.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8216…501bbacked No64c177.31$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd1d…ef02backed No63c177.27$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ee…7529backed No63c177.26$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad4c…78afbacked No64c177.18$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc85…d84cbacked No64c177.06$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x097b…1e30backed No63c176.71$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3b…d9ddbacked No63c176.66$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d2…50febacked No64c176.64$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3815…0a80backed No63c176.44$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581a…ff50backed Yes36c176.43$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a6…59debacked Yes36c176.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2705…af94backed No64c176.21$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad3d…9977backed No64c176.17$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…ca49backed No64c175.77$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.