Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x710f2953cbfd8fe548ef5659b2247f32e78b6a2593e678071a4715e11024ad37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 53c | 1,774$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.88 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 47c | 320.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 50c | 201.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 50c | 184.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 53c | 133.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…1b1ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 66c | 38.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will HNK Rijeka vs. AC Sparta Praha end in a draw?No won
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.