Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71649e935b0f70cc2614cbf4b6105af22b6793b782552cc14de5137368952b69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH)of Toledo, Miami (OH)
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Miami (OH) | 62c | 884.86$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.69 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Toledo | 39c | 601.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.22 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Toledo | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b4…4f8cbacked Toledo | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a2…6c31backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2dc0backed Miami (OH) | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…8ef3backed Toledo | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…bc77backed Miami (OH) | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…1178backed Miami (OH) | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…8689backed Toledo | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…710abacked Miami (OH) | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf290…efb9backed Toledo | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…b736backed Toledo | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…e82bbacked Miami (OH) | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…8ddabacked Miami (OH) | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…08ccbacked Miami (OH) | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…c8b0backed Toledo | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…78e5backed Toledo | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…32f0backed Miami (OH) | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…6e12backed Toledo | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef4d…ca70backed Miami (OH) | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…5125backed Miami (OH) | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…d9adbacked Toledo | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…2d14backed Toledo | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…57e5backed Miami (OH) | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…9abfbacked Toledo | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…1bc3backed Miami (OH) | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…eb41backed Toledo | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…d758backed Miami (OH) | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428a…5509backed Toledo | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…86ffbacked Miami (OH) | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0246…e33dbacked Miami (OH) | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b0…a396backed Toledo | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…f55bbacked Miami (OH) | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…39e5backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…e728backed Toledo | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…6d90backed Toledo | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…d9f8backed Miami (OH) | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518f…712bbacked Toledo | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcc…9cacbacked Toledo | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…d034backed Miami (OH) | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…cc75backed Toledo | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…d29fbacked Miami (OH) | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.