Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7189ae6c49a6f60059c1653b4f769cc922bef0d2581292eb72f5914de769bf5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphis Tigersof Purdue Boilermakers, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 1,215$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.09 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 745.21$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.7 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 45c | 132.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Memphis Tigers | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Memphis Tigers | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-15.5)this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Memphis TigersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-14.5)Memphis Tigers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-16.5)Memphis Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.