Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin vs. Purdue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f3aa69856518e67f9b179c79708cf04bb00161372ac90da171f6e3defa6133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsinof Wisconsin, Purdue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Purdue | 30c | 7,598$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.88 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Wisconsin | 41c | 2,737$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Purdue | 11c | 1,507$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…6ec7backed Wisconsin | 33c | 1,216$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Wisconsin | 32c | 393.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Purdue | 69c | 297.26$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Purdue | 68c | 297.03$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Wisconsin | 32c | 246.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wisconsin | 31c | 195.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…58efbacked Purdue | 66c | 189$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Purdue | 68c | 144.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Wisconsin | 32c | 141.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b6…39fbbacked Purdue | 67c | 112$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Purdue | 69c | 105$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…fcf7backed Wisconsin | 34c | 92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4353…0225backed Wisconsin | 33c | 69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69f…52debacked Purdue | 69c | 66.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34a…8544backed Wisconsin | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…40f8backed Wisconsin | 34c | 62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c1ddbacked Wisconsin | 34c | 57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…84a1backed Purdue | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wisconsin | 29c | 53.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…aabfbacked Wisconsin | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23e…e698backed Wisconsin | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3e…d5d2backed Wisconsin | 33c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4276…7e00backed Wisconsin | 33c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6629…bd4ebacked Wisconsin | 33c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…f1a3backed Purdue | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…277cbacked Purdue | 67c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…2918backed Wisconsin | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…68f0backed Wisconsin | 31c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2291…19bebacked Purdue | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2410…ceb1backed Purdue | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…5966backed Wisconsin | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…d17ebacked Wisconsin | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d70…f977backed Purdue | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…ea88backed Purdue | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…6edebacked Purdue | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Purdue | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde07…983abacked Purdue | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe894…84acbacked Purdue | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…65b7backed Purdue | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…cc01backed Purdue | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1554…8123backed Purdue | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…0fa2backed Purdue | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…df4bbacked Purdue | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…34c9backed Purdue | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ba…1b1abacked Purdue | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…cf59backed Wisconsin | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…da1bbacked Purdue | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…968cbacked Purdue | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.