Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7247014313611323a63340fdaca9356a5761e743187c9c331afa36aa17e343d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 30c | 1,005$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.72 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 520.94$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 30c | 299.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 250$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 162.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…94b8backed Over | 7c | 157.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 127.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 34c | 98.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 78c | 64.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 42c | 44.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…7ae8backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 15.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 70c | 15.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 72c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.