CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x737016cecbb14685801458eb727134d8c4c0348c662770e68064c8434c24cc8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof GenOne, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked GenOne | 53c | 2,654$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.24 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Donstu Esports | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 855.61$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.17 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed GenOne | 60c | 599.95$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 558.13$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed GenOne | 50c | 498.35$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.18 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 473.75$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed GenOne | 50c | 332.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 317.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Donstu Esports | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 171$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Donstu Esports | 51c | 151.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Donstu Esports | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 41.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Donstu Esports | 51c | 30.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group AGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.