Lol · resolved market
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs P11 Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73c07629b7b05941fbee9dc8568f86de26738d34708f99d6ed870ba62a84674e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colossal Gamingof Colossal Gaming, P11 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Colossal Gaming | 77c | 9,797$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.48 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked P11 Esports | 25c | 3,444$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.78 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed P11 Esports | 23c | 1,950$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed P11 Esports | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.06 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colossal Gaming | 74c | 1,433$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.98 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked P11 Esports | 21c | 1,422$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.79 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Colossal Gaming | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed P11 Esports | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked P11 Esports | 21c | 1,026$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked P11 Esports | 42c | 1,014$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.39 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed P11 Esports | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Colossal Gaming | 79c | 996.05$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.17 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed P11 Esports | 21c | 934.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed P11 Esports | 21c | 452.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Colossal Gaming | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed P11 Esports | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed P11 Esports | 21c | 387.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Colossal Gaming | 74c | 385.95$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed P11 Esports | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked P11 Esports | 23c | 317.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed P11 Esports | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked P11 Esports | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed P11 Esports | 20c | 114.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed P11 Esports | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed P11 Esports | 21c | 96.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked P11 Esports | 23c | 88.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked P11 Esports | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Colossal Gaming | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked P11 Esports | 20c | 63.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…dfb8backed Colossal Gaming | 73c | 63.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Colossal Gaming | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed P11 Esports | 27c | 53.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Colossal Gaming | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed P11 Esports | 23c | 44.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Colossal Gaming | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Colossal Gaming | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Colossal Gaming | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed Colossal Gaming | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 77cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Colossal Gaming | 66c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Colossal Gaming | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.