CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74231fa61802c6758f3a22cd484c4fa12655e0519d55c4afa48b2bd0ae28a001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Mindfreak, Rooster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rooster | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…7cf7backed Rooster | 40c | 260$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0105…08a1backed Mindfreak | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…3755backed Mindfreak | 60c | 240$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fb…e0cebacked Rooster | 40c | 230$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Mindfreak | 63c | 206$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Mindfreak | 63c | 179.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Rooster | 58c | 122.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +236.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Mindfreak | 13c | 112.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Mindfreak | 62c | 102.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Mindfreak | 38c | 84.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rooster | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…3b29backed Mindfreak | 47c | 57.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mindfreak | 24c | 55.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Rooster | 34c | 53.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…9168backed Rooster | 75c | 39.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Rooster | 42c | 37.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed Mindfreak | 65c | 30.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Rooster | 76c | 29.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rooster | 49c | 21.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…e0cabacked Mindfreak | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.