Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ajaccio: Robin Catry vs Clement Lemire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7465d26ec13df7dd298e7d021f2a03812d13dd1f01e2c4b88b497155945e606c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robin Catryof Robin Catry, Clement Lemire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Clement Lemire | 40c | 4,285$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.64 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Robin Catry | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Robin Catry | 60c | 794.98$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.31 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Robin Catry | 61c | 457.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Clement Lemire | 38c | 304.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Robin Catry | 67c | 263$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Robin Catry | 59c | 236.93$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Robin Catry | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Robin Catry | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Robin Catry | 59c | 134$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Clement Lemire | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Robin Catry | 60c | 97.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Robin Catry | 59c | 86.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Robin Catry | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Robin Catry | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Robin Catry | 71c | 50.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Robin Catry | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Robin Catry | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Clement Lemire | 32c | 44.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Robin Catry | 59c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Clement Lemire | 38c | 29.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Robin Catry | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.