CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs LA MASIA (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x746ffc3e2487b92e218d1de2c6a8159c94b37fc2551904400f9b7d000862e4e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, LA MASIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 1,145$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed LA MASIA | 32c | 999.41$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.81 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 126$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 101$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed LA MASIA | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed LA MASIA | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed LA MASIA | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.