Tennis · resolved market
San Luis Potosi: Ivan Marrero vs Jake Delaney
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ac18b2083422ea35f7c8ccd2b71053155b939d6998aa38bbe5f24ed6e62fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivan Marreroof Ivan Marrero, Jake Delaney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jake Delaney | 10c | 1,291$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Jake Delaney | 5c | 1,202$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Jake Delaney | 20c | 364.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jake Delaney | 21c | 354.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Jake Delaney | 18c | 326.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jake Delaney | 12c | 278.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Ivan Marrero | 73c | 263.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jake Delaney | 39c | 258.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jake Delaney | 14c | 185.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Jake Delaney | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Ivan Marrero | 61c | 130.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Ivan Marrero | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…a4b1backed Ivan Marrero | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ivan Marrero | 64c | 111.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Jake Delaney | 32c | 76.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Jake Delaney | 16c | 74.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ivan Marrero | 70c | 73.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ivan Marrero | 76c | 68.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Jake Delaney | 33c | 55.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Jake Delaney | 35c | 54.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Ivan Marrero | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Ivan Marrero | 61c | 47.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Ivan Marrero | 68c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Ivan Marrero | 69c | 28.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Ivan Marrero | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ivan Marrero | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.