Music · resolved market
Will Dijon win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ff14a9345bbc87ccbcc71ae6bd703f1edbbb717427a2bdd0a8599c80c2b345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 289.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 4c | 285$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 36c | 87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…d68ebacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 28c | 70.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…fb83backed Yes | 43c | 53.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f7…f224backed No | 63c | 24.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed No | 72c | 22.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dijon win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will Cirkut win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will Sounwave win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.