La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75098780a0b83d5417f0878c5749ad0f8b9003ea005920116b3b232ef9dc6c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.96 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 3,261$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.14 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…d1a3backed Under | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,794$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.47 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Under | 51c | 971.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 22c | 890.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 829.8$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.85 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 25c | 400.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 19c | 232.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 172$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 71c | 131.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 29c | 64.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 66c | 63.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 79c | 55.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 51c | 29.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…44d8backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 77c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…7243backed Over | 49c | 23.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 20.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-2.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.