Tennis · resolved market
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Alice Robbe vs Harmony Tan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7560e9d03bb8b0d0c955201bafded791dd5b9bbc2029c0f4c41e4d194956df0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harmony Tanof Alice Robbe, Harmony Tan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4232…d505backed Alice Robbe | 16c | 2,174$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Alice Robbe | 7c | 1,539$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Alice Robbe | 1c | 940.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Alice Robbe | 15c | 715.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Alice Robbe | 14c | 563.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Alice Robbe | 5c | 328.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Alice Robbe | 23c | 324.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Alice Robbe | 14c | 255.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Alice Robbe | 14c | 255.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Alice Robbe | 14c | 251.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Alice Robbe | 9c | 240.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Alice Robbe | 15c | 238.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Alice Robbe | 15c | 238.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alice Robbe | 12c | 194.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Harmony Tan | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alice Robbe | 12c | 123.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Alice Robbe | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Alice Robbe | 17c | 90.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Alice Robbe | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Harmony Tan | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.