Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Riverside vs. UC Davis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75fa0e0d344ffe67b2289b23d090265532dcb249c0d143b063df23328037dcba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Davisof UC Riverside, UC Davis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd940…63d5backed UC Davis | 50c | 175$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…a2d3backed UC Riverside | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…54e3backed UC Riverside | 50c | 169$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…1cf6backed UC Davis | 50c | 169$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…9e93backed UC Davis | 50c | 166$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…38eabacked UC Riverside | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…1ca9backed UC Davis | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed UC Davis | 41c | 116.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UC Davis | 51c | 111.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b79…5281backed UC Riverside | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…9550backed UC Riverside | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd667…7a55backed UC Davis | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…c800backed UC Davis | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…8794backed UC Riverside | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…c581backed UC Riverside | 54c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…c471backed UC Riverside | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…5924backed UC Davis | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f8…3e9dbacked UC Davis | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2385…1abdbacked UC Riverside | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ade…28d0backed UC Riverside | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…b770backed UC Davis | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3b02backed UC Davis | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…04fabacked UC Davis | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed UC Riverside | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…1766backed UC Davis | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed UC Riverside | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked UC Riverside | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…8624backed UC Riverside | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…3dd5backed UC Riverside | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed UC Davis | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…650dbacked UC Riverside | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…0f75backed UC Riverside | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7354…f206backed UC Davis | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…bd86backed UC Riverside | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…8921backed UC Davis | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…0492backed UC Riverside | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4e…5aa7backed UC Davis | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…c87bbacked UC Riverside | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…7878backed UC Riverside | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39c…0277backed UC Davis | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…4b62backed UC Riverside | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…f443backed UC Davis | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…b16dbacked UC Davis | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…7960backed UC Riverside | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…6f12backed UC Davis | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…0c40backed UC Davis | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e21…91f1backed UC Riverside | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…7178backed UC Riverside | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…9555backed UC Davis | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…fd4fbacked UC Riverside | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…2582backed UC Riverside | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…f364backed UC Riverside | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda4…dc44backed UC Riverside | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…6343backed UC Riverside | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…3f97backed UC Davis | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…8225backed UC Davis | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784e…d47ebacked UC Riverside | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…4cc0backed UC Davis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…100fbacked UC Davis | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…79a2backed UC Riverside | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1403…88f0backed UC Davis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…86ffbacked UC Davis | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae2…b601backed UC Davis | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8b…0a37backed UC Davis | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…4d70backed UC Riverside | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…92bebacked UC Davis | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9446…0cb5backed UC Davis | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.