Lol · resolved market
LEC: G2 vs. Fnatic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7619ed55f65852a9e467ed8230010e0b8c2ea71253b600e9f419f1548667f51e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof G2, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x476b…8a58backed G2 | 51c | 365.52$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…22a2backed G2 | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…3926backed G2 | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f88…7996backed G2 | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…5c41backed G2 | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Fnatic | 10c | 197.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…4e21backed G2 | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…52ddbacked Fnatic | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…c5efbacked Fnatic | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…820bbacked Fnatic | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…471cbacked Fnatic | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked G2 | 47c | 165.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…e835backed G2 | 48c | 155$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fnatic | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…bcfcbacked Fnatic | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…2353backed Fnatic | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…bc5ebacked Fnatic | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…ccf3backed Fnatic | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…ac50backed Fnatic | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…05cebacked G2 | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…8796backed G2 | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Fnatic | 46c | 105.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Fnatic | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…84b0backed Fnatic | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Fnatic | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…9474backed Fnatic | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed G2 | 53c | 79.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…ce04backed Fnatic | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…5942backed Fnatic | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…253bbacked Fnatic | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…2dfebacked Fnatic | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Fnatic | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…9154backed Fnatic | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…933cbacked Fnatic | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b3…d1d8backed Fnatic | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…b68fbacked G2 | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3a75backed G2 | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.