Tennis · resolved market
Schoolkate vs. Hijikata: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7619f318e846933784a2434f60c22f21ee0635252dffde836ad8f2d588b9090e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 51c | 145$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Schoolkate vs. Hijikata: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Adelaide International: Tristan Schoolkate vs Rinky HijikataHijikata won
- Schoolkate vs. Hijikata: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Schoolkate vs. Hijikata: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Schoolkate vs. Hijikata: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Schoolkate vs HijikataHijikata won
- Set Handicap: Hijikata (-1.5) vs Schoolkate (+1.5)Hijikata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.