CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7630d015caee05d5ecb54d19e3e7f9d50c55c01944eda9280faddca8384f06f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Red Feet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Yawara Esports | 70c | 4,420$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.13 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Red Feet | 30c | 1,192$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.02 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…c7d2backed Red Feet | 30c | 620$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Red Feet | 29c | 510$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Red Feet | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec04…1bcebacked Red Feet | 30c | 476.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Red Feet | 25c | 463.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Red Feet | 30c | 419.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Red Feet | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Yawara Esports | 70c | 387.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Red Feet | 31c | 327.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yawara Esports | 71c | 314.34$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Red Feet | 28c | 299.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Red Feet | 29c | 291.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yawara Esports | 65c | 248.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Red Feet | 32c | 230.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Yawara Esports | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Red Feet | 29c | 215$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Red Feet | 27c | 157.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Red Feet | 28c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Red Feet | 30c | 70.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Red Feet | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Red Feet | 30c | 43.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Yawara Esports | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Red Feet | 29c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Red Feet - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Red Feet - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.