Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drexel vs. William & Mary
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x772e1ebbd8946e106c56eefce9081fe0f54c9418b864950fcff8c7e9275d6341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William & Maryof Drexel, William & Mary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Drexel | 58c | 1,801$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed William & Mary | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…8bb4backed William & Mary | 50c | 179$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed William & Mary | 42c | 176.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Drexel | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…dbbdbacked William & Mary | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…d6b9backed Drexel | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…e56bbacked Drexel | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…105dbacked Drexel | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…d2cabacked Drexel | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Drexel | 38c | 42.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…281cbacked Drexel | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5889…5ce3backed William & Mary | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…5c3fbacked Drexel | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…1572backed Drexel | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…9a33backed William & Mary | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed William & Mary | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfc…aa07backed William & Mary | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…7649backed Drexel | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f5…c128backed Drexel | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.