Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777e113827cc11df6b1ab1db6fe257ac8a637011c4c9ef9c6cb33be70d51eed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 386.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 64c | 325.95$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 214.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 37c | 201$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 62c | 188.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 49c | 152$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 39c | 97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 38c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 38c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 63c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Over | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.