Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis vs. South Florida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x779d2a0493e8a3e0345226b8de87e66be9a1bbe1bba60587fa84de23ca9fc275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphisof Memphis, South Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked South Florida | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed South Florida | 27c | 479.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Memphis | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…a2d3backed Memphis | 74c | 117$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed Memphis | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Memphis | 76c | 93.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1e…35d0backed South Florida | 26c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked South Florida | 25c | 79.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…0631backed Memphis | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…de5ebacked Memphis | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…bf64backed South Florida | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…c500backed South Florida | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…849fbacked Memphis | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…fabebacked Memphis | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3955…ff0abacked South Florida | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4fa3backed South Florida | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32f…3916backed South Florida | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d8…1da4backed South Florida | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…b2cbbacked South Florida | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a7…4fe3backed Memphis | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…8386backed South Florida | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…3551backed Memphis | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…e290backed Memphis | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…ee9ebacked Memphis | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…9e3ebacked South Florida | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…a639backed South Florida | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…c4debacked South Florida | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Memphis | 71c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…b12fbacked Memphis | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fe…16debacked Memphis | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…afdfbacked South Florida | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…a2a6backed Memphis | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…4abbbacked South Florida | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc4…6e02backed South Florida | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Memphis | 72c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e3…0f87backed Memphis | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…812fbacked South Florida | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…3b4cbacked Memphis | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c03fbacked South Florida | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d70…f977backed Memphis | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…9550backed Memphis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…103bbacked Memphis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…4d6fbacked Memphis | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…50c3backed Memphis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Memphis | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78c…b49abacked South Florida | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fee…51a9backed South Florida | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…6243backed Memphis | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…b9bfbacked South Florida | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.