CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782778e96d5bca31b7a58e53941b87dc19fd22437e8c170be144cb3e1121f1cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof HEROIC Academy, QUAZAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked HEROIC Academy | 74c | 1,922$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.82 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked QUAZAR | 29c | 965.41$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed QUAZAR | 47c | 945.18$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.23 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed QUAZAR | 29c | 411.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked QUAZAR | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed HEROIC Academy | 64c | 357.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.57 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed QUAZAR | 30c | 309.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR | 25c | 304.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed HEROIC Academy | 70c | 287.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked HEROIC Academy | 76c | 251.49$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed QUAZAR | 25c | 216.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked HEROIC Academy | 70c | 143.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked HEROIC Academy | 71c | 140.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked HEROIC Academy | 65c | 102.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked QUAZAR | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed QUAZAR | 27c | 82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HEROIC Academy | 76c | 77.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed HEROIC Academy | 48c | 56.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed QUAZAR | 32c | 56.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HEROIC Academy | 53c | 55.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked HEROIC Academy | 69c | 43.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c76…0d35backed QUAZAR | 53c | 41.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed HEROIC Academy | 70c | 41.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed HEROIC Academy | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked HEROIC Academy | 69c | 37.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed QUAZAR | 38c | 26.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…eae7backed HEROIC Academy | 78c | 26.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed HEROIC Academy | 64c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group CQUAZAR won
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs QUAZAR - Map 1 WinnerQUAZAR won
- Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5)HEROIC Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.