Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis vs. Wichita State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784fa2adc71215e8fa8c3f7875dc78e9186077e7030f18058bb944d889916481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wichita Stateof Memphis, Wichita State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Memphis | 23c | 10,909$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wichita State | 78c | 10,795$8,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.92 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Memphis | 56c | 1,514$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.21 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Wichita State | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Memphis | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Wichita State | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.3 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wichita State | 38c | 690$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Memphis | 78c | 491.19$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wichita State | 22c | 475.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.2 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…295bbacked Wichita State | 28c | 342$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…6214backed Memphis | 72c | 290.25$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…f210backed Wichita State | 28c | 211$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wichita State | 23c | 204.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Memphis | 77c | 131.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Memphis | 60c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…86ffbacked Memphis | 72c | 114$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wichita State | 24c | 87.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Memphis | 76c | 85.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…7853backed Memphis | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…a614backed Memphis | 72c | 71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…2067backed Wichita State | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Memphis | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Memphis | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Memphis | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef0…cc78backed Memphis | 79c | 25.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Memphis | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…ec5dbacked Memphis | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.