Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iona vs. Quinnipiac
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78cb5368605e4034713e810e3cbfcf133c5d6ab902a0925084240464d73a955f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnipiacof Iona, Quinnipiac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc03…3fd9backed Iona | 28c | 310$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…8794backed Quinnipiac | 72c | 203$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x915b…ffe7backed Iona | 28c | 153$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…fce1backed Quinnipiac | 72c | 133$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…d873backed Iona | 27c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…a085backed Quinnipiac | 72c | 86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1a…368cbacked Quinnipiac | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…58d6backed Quinnipiac | 73c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…ad0dbacked Iona | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Quinnipiac | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…582dbacked Iona | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe69f…52debacked Quinnipiac | 65c | 36.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…0601backed Quinnipiac | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 53cpaid | +91%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecc…5892backed Iona | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Quinnipiac | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…6d22backed Quinnipiac | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6514…9303backed Iona | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…a7d9backed Quinnipiac | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…ab1abacked Quinnipiac | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…c1d6backed Quinnipiac | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…5c35backed Quinnipiac | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5a…9348backed Quinnipiac | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.