CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78cce9eab9842d6edd554a346b0368e9cccca767833b68b3d69270c4b2833820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof 1WIN, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 35c | 1,612$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked FOKUS | 61c | 984.57$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.85 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 1WIN | 11c | 507$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 1WIN | 38c | 250$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked FOKUS | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed FOKUS | 60c | 199.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked FOKUS | 76c | 197.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked FOKUS | 63c | 169.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed FOKUS | 72c | 153.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed FOKUS | 78c | 153.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed 1WIN | 40c | 100.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 33c | 85.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed FOKUS | 71c | 83.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…b6fbbacked 1WIN | 38c | 69.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1WIN | 44c | 56.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed FOKUS | 62c | 52.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 31c | 49.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked FOKUS | 62c | 45.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked FOKUS | 60c | 45.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 65c | 44.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked FOKUS | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS | 67c | 41.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FOKUS | 63c | 41.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…e88cbacked FOKUS | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed FOKUS | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed FOKUS | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed FOKUS | 62c | 16.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.