Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78eb0104917aa8cdd42ca31eb3b24df29f245162addc0d41f09b881c316d3deb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 47c | 3,711$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 47c | 2,243$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 61c | 569.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 41c | 509.85$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 501.34$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.1 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 15c | 439$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 241$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…36e0backed Yes | 53c | 199.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 53c | 193.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 184.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 48c | 167$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 36c | 155.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked No | 47c | 106.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 43c | 100.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 82.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…94d7backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 54c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 52c | 54.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…295ebacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 54c | 46.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 46.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 52c | 44.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 48c | 35.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 47c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 52c | 30.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 30.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 27.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 21.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked No | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 79c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.