NHL · resolved market
DEL: Nurnberg Ice Tigers vs. Dresdner Eisloewen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78f06ad255bb38b1eaf26f38f777330b7db1eb542a390ea40a70d4442376f020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nurnberg Ice Tigersof Nurnberg Ice Tigers, Dresdner Eisloewen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa707…03c1backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 2,400$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…2935backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 21c | 1,400$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…928cbacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 21c | 1,227$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…0312backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 25c | 1,172$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…4e81backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…c340backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 978$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…4511backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 74c | 795.52$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…19ffbacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 22c | 596$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…85dbbacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 21c | 481$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…9d85backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 21c | 474$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…ed50backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 21c | 359$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 355$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…013ebacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 22c | 346$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…7849backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 21c | 329$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…c9e1backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 296$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…284fbacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 22c | 291$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d2…2e42backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 22c | 271$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…db0dbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 249$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…c8acbacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 22c | 248$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…e5e6backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 244$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…2357backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 242$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…c231backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 241$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…553dbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 241$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…d210backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 239$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…3123backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 231$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…2ab1backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 195$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…cb69backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 186$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…220cbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 178$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b30abacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 151$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…82f6backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 149$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x514c…0c04backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 134$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…a026backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 122$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…315cbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 118$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…cb83backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 114$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…3affbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…aecebacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 79c | 98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 75c | 82.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.