South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78fcaa8b5969045bca334117551dbf3bf0a3305598e26c21fe32c40dc218bb57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,984$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 58c | 1,786$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 1,322$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 24c | 1,228$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 875.88$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 39c | 634.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 426.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 287.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 245.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 36c | 78.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked Over | 26c | 50.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 49.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 55c | 23.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…855bbacked Under | 71c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.