Other European Leagues · resolved market
Orgryte IS vs. AIK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792a477252d9466a4ac20ed2373de004b836eed9d05aeb358f346abc0e1cef8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 1,034$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 633.78$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 47c | 552.3$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 397$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 397$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 57c | 238.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 203.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 56c | 85.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…be60backed Over | 58c | 82.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Over | 53c | 65.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 56c | 53.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 56c | 48.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 42c | 47.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Under | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 44.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 56c | 42.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 55c | 32.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 59c | 17.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orgryte IS vs. AIK: O/U 2.5this page
- Orgryte IS vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. AIK: AIK O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. AIK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orgryte IS vs. AIK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. AIK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. AIK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Orgryte IS vs. AIK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-2.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.