Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7981bf1ff46f96ac9e912a043e06a759a99b0e221d3d3f233d9bae1462b6ffe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 45c | 867.06$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.3 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 490.16$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.29 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 425.92$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 25c | 273.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7788…9e5fbacked Yes | 42c | 247.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 44c | 211$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 157.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 32c | 156.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 148.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 30c | 145.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 117.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 41c | 113.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 64c | 106.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 79c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 17c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…9ef0backed Yes | 77c | 65.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 29c | 46.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 33c | 45.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…d103backed Yes | 80c | 45.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 66c | 31.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 57c | 24.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4812…8758backed No | 57c | 17.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Yes | 79c | 17.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 14.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-05?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.