CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TPuDCATb TPu vs Venom (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x799a1ac4e00d4cf8d89e97ec912cac145b6acc654e234c54fcb30fa4dade9794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Venomof TPuDCATb TPu, Venom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Venom | 74c | 2,026$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.62 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Venom | 69c | 1,941$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TPuDCATb TPu | 29c | 1,687$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Venom | 61c | 1,350$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…53a7backed Venom | 44c | 447.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TPuDCATb TPu | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TPuDCATb TPu | 15c | 283.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked TPuDCATb TPu | 26c | 174.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked TPuDCATb TPu | 29c | 110.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…e1efbacked TPuDCATb TPu | 19c | 55.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed TPuDCATb TPu | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked TPuDCATb TPu | 27c | 37.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…a6e7backed TPuDCATb TPu | 52c | 19.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.