Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79acc80e3969bb22833032419b1732cc8217c5a2efe154a9d4275d9b37e388b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Techof Texas Tech, Oklahoma State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Oklahoma State | 20c | 609.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Texas Tech | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oklahoma State | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc712…fdb9backed Texas Tech | 80c | 94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61c…4de3backed Oklahoma State | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Oklahoma State | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…e4c4backed Oklahoma State | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…c585backed Oklahoma State | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oklahoma State | 20c | 56.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…e286backed Texas Tech | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…4ccebacked Oklahoma State | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…6640backed Oklahoma State | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…cf7cbacked Texas Tech | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…5ae5backed Oklahoma State | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…5924backed Texas Tech | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…5d92backed Oklahoma State | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e07…2dc2backed Texas Tech | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…27fbbacked Texas Tech | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…c2c7backed Texas Tech | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…f063backed Texas Tech | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a70…d01abacked Oklahoma State | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13da…40dfbacked Oklahoma State | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…678bbacked Oklahoma State | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…13febacked Texas Tech | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6514…9303backed Texas Tech | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…6c4dbacked Texas Tech | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…64cebacked Oklahoma State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c4…c6afbacked Texas Tech | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…6d4ebacked Texas Tech | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…5960backed Texas Tech | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…fbafbacked Texas Tech | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…3e80backed Texas Tech | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4b…2262backed Texas Tech | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…c08ebacked Texas Tech | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…4d97backed Texas Tech | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedf…b4c3backed Texas Tech | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…e0b1backed Texas Tech | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…5b2cbacked Texas Tech | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.